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8 AM 80% in 7 Days
40% in 2 Days
Questions on how fast this pulls together.
Black and white imagery.
This is where we are today.
You can see it's bulking up ...
..trying to develop a center.
A rudimentary banding on South.
Could become a beautiful tail.
Could key word.
9 AM it became Invest 92L
Models start running.
New runs coming out soon.
See below early model output.
Very important to look at the whole picture.
First & forecast it's a HUGE Wave.
Big waves insulate themselves better than small waves.
Fight off shear & negative conditions.
Does have a sense of itself doesn't it?
Catches the eye.
Harder to see perhaps is by OBX
NHC has so far ignored this...
...handing it off to local NWS.
This is a HUGE weather maker....
...close in to land.
Impact!
Earthnull is just a view down at the winds.
You can see it's better organized than 92L
There's a small wave closer to the Islands.
92L may end up close to the Islands.
92L being bigger could hit them with weather.
Even if it stays far off shore.
Most models hint at a curve....
...up into the Atlantic.
Fish Food as some say.
It's too early to say today.......
...What will be Special of the Day in a Week!
So we wait and we watch.
We wait for a closed center.
We wait to see how it's set u vertically.
How fast might it intensify.
We get recon info.
You know the drill.
I'll update later today.
But looking down the road a bit.
Graphic below tells a tale.
Currently we are in Remember September
After that.....Waves generally fade away.
September 15th these are the African Waves
They begin to fade away as we approach October.
Note below the 9/24 - 9/30
Development zone by CV fades away.
Attention will turn to SW Carib
Close in.
MDR more rain from wave train.
Will update later with better model data.
And thoughts on how it is going.
Stay prepared
Stay vigilant
Stay aware.
76 Days til Hurricane Season Over.
October brings huge storms from Carib.
Remember that.
Be back later... BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on X mostly weather
Ps it really IS a Manic Monday today!!
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