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A Disaster was Averted in 2022; But What About Next Time?

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During 2022, a destructive volcanic eruption nearly occurred on Portugal's populated island of Sao Jorge. Thankfully, magma stopped short of reaching the surface, but the nature in which the magma intrusion occurred has potential implications worldwide. Specifically, because as it stands, a similar type of mostly aseismic intrusion elsewhere in the world could easily slip undetected by volcanoes with only limited monitoring networks. I discuss what exactly I mean by this, and offer suggestions to prevent a "next time, but with an actual eruption with people potentially in a danger zone for an unexpected eruption". Note: This video's title is not talking about a next time on Sao Jorge specifically, but rather a similar scenario to what occurred at Sao Jorge in March 2022, except on a number of different non Sao Jorge active volcanoes elsewhere on the planet. I say this because in my opinion, Sao Jorge now seems to have a thorough enough monitoring network to prevent a next time. Note: In my opinion, the failed magma intrusion at Sao Jorge in 2022 is not going to ever continue its upward progress or erupt, meaning the island is safe to visit. If you would like to support this channel, consider using one of the following links: (Patreon: http://patreon.com/geologyhub) (YouTube membership: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYeGh5VML5XPr5jYnzh3J6g/join) (Gemstone & Mineral Etsy store: http://prospectingarizona.etsy.com) (GeologyHub Merch Etsy store: http://geologyhub.etsy.com) Google Earth imagery used in this video: ©Google & Data Providers This video is protected under "fair use". If you see an image and/or video which is your own in this video, and/or think my discussion of a scientific paper (and/or discussion/mentioning of the data/information within a scientific paper) does not fall under the fair use doctrine, and wish for it to be censored or removed, contact me by email at [email protected] and I will make the necessary changes. Various licenses used in sections of this video (not the entire video, this video as a whole does not completely fall under one of these licenses) and/or in this video's thumbnail image (and this list does not include every license used in this video and/or thumbnail image): CC BY 4.0: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode Sources/Citations: [1] Hicks, S.P., Gonzalez, P.J., Lomax, A. et al. Fault-mediated magma propagation and triggered seismicity revealed by the 2022 São Jorge Azores unrest. Nat Commun 17, 3531 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-71668-6, CC BY 4.0. [2] Hicks, S. P., J. Gonzalez, P., Fernandes, R., Ferreira, A., Ramalho, R., Mitchell, N., Lomax, A., Carrilho, F., Custódio, S., Dias, N. A., Fontiela, J., Mendes, V., Garcia, A. M., Marignier, A., Marques, R., Miranda, M., Melo, O., Pimentel, A., Silveira, G., and Tsekhmistrenko, M. and the and the rest of the Sao Jorge investigation group: Growing an ocean island: high-precision seismicity reveals a multi-faceted magma intrusion during the 2022 São Jorge, Azores seismic crisis, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14605, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14605, 2024., CC BY 4.0. 0:00 2022 Sao Jorge Intrusion 0:35 Volcano Monitoring Levels 2:17 A Potential Problem 4:00 2023 Marapi Eruption 4:38 Suggested Changes
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