Note the end is wedged in the beginning here today.

Areas of blobs and current convection 

Hard to find inspiration in early July when SAL is in charge and El Nino is building it's case for being one for the history books. I don't like to "hype" as much as tell it like it is and in truth there are possibilities but they are low chances barely worth mentioning. Then again, the pattern has shifted and we are no longer in the dead heat of the Heat Dome in the Carolinas back to a normal Carolina Summer pattern meaning it's not so horrible at night with a light breeze ... perfect for going out and having a drink on a rooftop bar. In the morning it's a drop moderate but warms up all day fast and by late afternoon the clouds build up and they let loose with some thunder and lightning and awesome drenching rains. Ps...every Summer trip to the beach ends with late day thunderheads chasing the masses away. 

When a pattern flips, that's a sign. But what is it really a sign of ???

Shows we are moving up the graphic for Hurricane Season, where little peaks of historic action happen on their way to moving on up the range of possibilities into August. Generally in an El Nino Season August is the start of action. SAL generally .... wanes and stronger waves are able to maintain motion and their existence to take advantage of any weak chance that something could form and at least get a yellow circle going. Note the red moves UP fast as if waves need to be mountain climbers!!

As for El Nino...
...a good primer in why El Nino
impacts our Hurricane Season
with info vs hype.

Click on that as it's good discussion.

With good graphics.

Mike LIVE this morning....
...always easier typing listening to Mike talk.

Old habit...............