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Just to get this a li'l out of my system.
The Carolina WON...
...the Stanley Cup!
in an El Nino Year!
So.... wouldn't count Canes out.
Sports wise & weather wise
Gotta love the Hurricane Flag there :)
20% in the 2 day.
30% now in the 7 day.
Could emerge over water....
...IF it does.... it'll get a name.
If it doesn't can still get fame.
This region is used to No Name Storms.
Add in cities built in bayous....
...tend to flood badly.
Places like Houston...
just to name one.
The truth is this week's weather is not about a hurricane in the Atlantic or even a Tropical Storm, but tropical, torrential rains tracking over the same area stuck between a stalled front and a huge High Pressure that keeps the rain stuck over parts of the Deep South. I typed "stuck" twice on purpose. Can Carolina get in on this rainfall? Time will tell it's a very strong High Pressure. And, in Mississippi and other nearby areas it's already raining. So you get rain on top of rain on top of more rain. And, often sadly, these set ups tend to overproduce!
This is the rainfall signature.
The footprint of where flooding rains can happen.
These two posts tell the tale.
Josh is already getting sexy tropical rain.
Anyone who has lived in Key West...
...knows this sound.
"pounding rain" on a tin roof at night.
Wild sound really.
Leaves you with one big smile!
Next look at that High.
Well the Highs...
The 4 Highs....
....making up a blocking high pressure.
And the 3 Ls
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You can see where the front is...
...you can see where the high pressure is below..
Just to be clear showing it here.
Saharan Dust and the HUGE HIGH
everything is dry.
So dry that Miami has a HEAT advisory.
Not the basketball kind.
My brother sent me an emergency alert...
..warning of HEAT Advisory in Miami.
I told him:
"thank you for participating"
It has to be really bad....
..for Miami to put up a warning.
As for the ITCZ....
it is so suppressed!!
Compressed.
African waves may....
... get into the EPAC
Westbound and down...
And that's the concerns on weather today and tomorrow and most of this week. Can Arthur get named from this mess of rain? Only if it develops a low pressure areas and currently it's murky and hard to find one but the NHC is doing their job. The NWS is doing it's job. Everyone should pay close attention to Heat Alerts and Flood Warnings of all kinds.
And the EURO is bullish.
It suddenly wants to put do the GFS
The GFS is quiet.
El Ninos bring topsy turvy weather....
El Ninos bring the Stanley Cup to Raleigh.
2006 and 2026.
Time will tell.
Really nothing more to say...
..except I'm watching it.
And oddly enjoying the process...
..because it's like a chocolate in a box.
You never know what you're gonna get...
Name or no name.
Flooding is a huge concern!
Stay tuned.
Will see what evolves.
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on X
X mostly weather
(unless Panthers or Hurricanes win big)
sound up if you really want ....
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