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Invest 91L Formed ... 50/50 Chances of Development as of Saturday Night

18 hours ago 9

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Just keeping it short here. Invest 91L formed as I believed it would, but beyond that there are many questions. Currently Recon is scheduled to go in tomorrow and we should have more answers after we get direct data. This is a huge bubble of trouble, potential trouble and energy that likes to spin. That said, there's lots of dry air and shear everywhere and yet close in development has happened in set ups such as this one before so we have to watch. I'm watching.

It has this huget circular appearance.

And I'm talking since Friday.

Often "spin" is hard to get going.

Here we have spin....

...we have convection.

Convection pulsating.

UP and down and UP

Where this ends up ....

... not sure yet.

So let's look at the models.

We still have multiple scenarios.

Will see Sunday Morning...

...first visible imagery.

Recon.

Radar.

Close in makes it easy.

And due to dry air and shear...

...it would difficult to intensify fast.

should it form.

But it could develop some.

Either way the rain is needed.

For now.. check back Sunday Morning.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

Well for now it's all about Florida.

Close in to Florida.

but ... everyone waiting to see ...

If it forms.

Where it goes?




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