Starting off here today. I like that this satellite image has the date and the time on it. So we know this is where I am beginning, with what is vs what some say may be down the road. NHC says "nothing for 7 days" and I do think they mean it. I'm fairly sure something would have to have a good circulation, properly aligned with signs of rapid intensification coming on soon before they will test the tropical waters again. Not being totally silly.

There's the Low marked for where our old Invest is, as if we thought it actually moved anywhere. It's been like the Great Red Spot on Jupiter except it hasn't been too red with convection, but it's been anchored in the MDR unable to find it's groove. The main problem with what was vs what the models saw it it was it was an inferior wave to begin with and it had a kind of had center and a mid level center and when they are not properly aligned they go nowhere fast. I knew there was a problem when I saw the NHC mark it as it wasn't marked where I though it'd be and that's because there were two options. Two options is good for shopping for a gown or a dinner menu, not a tropical wave. Let's move on............

There's a front draped across the NW part of this image, that's our beautiful front in North Carolina and an area of disturbed weather off the Florida West Coast currently parked near Tampa. In the SW Carib, hidden by the Spectrum News sign, is an area that keeps flaring up, dying down and flaring up. We are going to keep watching that area for any signs that something might form and drift North up towards the Gulf crossing either the Yucatan or parts of Cuba depending on the timing and the alignment of any fronts that are trying to make it that far South. Someone I respect greatly has highlighted the Texas Gulf area for the next part of September, later in September and I don't feel I can rule that out as the water is hot, welcoming and ready. When Indian Summer hits it may put out a welcome mat for any tropical system that is down to the South.  Oh and there's the Upper Level Low that the NHC will ignore as the cold front will, in theory, sweep it out to sea.

Below a few days later.

August 28th I wrote about the waves off of Africa. Models began promising big things ... like the African Waves producing something and I was skeptical as the wave, to me,  was too high and hitting a wall of dust as soon as it left Africa as you can see above.  As I wrote many times the waves have come off HIGH and then low and then HIGH and then low and none of them looked stellar I may add, tho CLIMO plus some models insisted this was the awakening of the Atlantic Tropical Waves that get names.