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PIOMAS December 2019

5 years ago 57

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Another month has passed, and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center:

BPIOMASIceVolumeAnomalyCurrentV2.1_CY

November 2019 saw an above average sea ice volume increase according to PIOMAS (3834 vs 3553 km3 for the 2007-2018 period). In fact, only three years - 2007, 2011 and 2018 - saw a larger increase, which means all other years gained on 2019. Of course, it also means that 2019 is no longer on a par with 2012 and 2016. The difference increased to 212 and 961 km3, respectively, and 2019 is now firmly in 3rd place.

Here's how the differences with previous years have evolved from last month:

BPIOMASIceVolumeAnomalyCurrentV2.1_CY

On Wipneus' version of the PIOMAS graph, you can see the 2012 trend line catching up with 2019, up until the last few days of November:

Piomas-trnd4As was to be expected, the anomaly trend line on the PIOMAS volume anomaly graph has returned to positive territory:

BPIOMASIceVolumeAnomalyCurrentV2.1_CY

During November, extent increased more slowly than volume did, relatively speaking, and so average thickness went up a bit faster than 2012 and 2016 (when you divide volume by extent to crudely calculate average thickness):
BPIOMASIceVolumeAnomalyCurrentV2.1_CYAnd as often is the case, the same can be seen on the Polar Science Centre average thickness graph:

BPIOMASIceVolumeAnomalyCurrentV2.1_CY

If you accept that the situation with regards to Arctic sea ice is pretty extreme and has been for quite a while, you could say that nothing is out of the ordinary, right now (thankfully). I even have some very positive news in this respect: The top 3 warmest monthly temperature series has come to an end! After an unprecedented seven months of being in the top 3, November 2019 was only 9th warmest on record:

925T_70N_rank

One more month of data left to go, and it's on to 2020.

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