11 AM it's Melissa.

Will update soon...

Keep reading from 9 AM below.

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Good morning ... 44 degrees in Raleigh.

98L is 100% ready to go!

What are we waiting for??

Recon? NHC to blink.

Friend put this up and going with it....

Says it all. 

DR Haiti Cuba & Jamaica....

...need to watch the progress of this system.

Soon to be known by Melissa!

Leaving the blog here unfinished so that I can update when the NHC decides where the exact center in from various sources (including recon) and what the exact first Cone will be. So much rides on this and we all know it's there. It's close to South America currently, yet weather exists far from her developing core. The center has been "tilted" and unlike in Pin Ball that does not mean "game over" but put some more money in and keep playing. Many a storm has traveled far and done damage being a "tilted" system, meaning there is a center and a mid level center and they are NOT aligned properly. Shear and the tilted nature of 98L is the main inhibiting factor and when and if she aligns her center vertically she will become a power to behold and she is surrounded by possible targets that could feel her wrath. And, to be honest they may feel her wrath for several days IF she stalls out or moves very slowly once steering currents slow down or collapse. 

I have mentioned many times "parameters need to be met" when discussing her once 3 track possibilities, then her 2 track possibilities and we are eliminating the wrong ones one by one and soon down to the NHC Cone.  When it made it through the Islands and kept cruising at 20 to 25 MPH it missed the first "turn before the Island" and when it  kept going doing an offshore cruise of South America and the ABC Islands we began to wonder on the favored track by many models yesterday with a fast escape out to sea over Hispaniola (give or take) now we are down to the reality that she may slow down, spin a while, intensify and get herself together and become a memorable, strong hurricane landfall for more than one place. 

So stay tuned. 

Waiting on the NHC to blink and push the send button on an advisory of sorts! Used this song the other day because there are so many places she may go, the list is long and I can't eliminate anything completely so waiting to get a solid center, good data and the next model runs.......